Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.004818 0.005303 0.005827 0.006437 0.007127 0.007889 0.008795
2025-09-21 0.003944 0.004599 0.005359 0.006312 0.007487 0.008901 0.010751
2025-09-28 0.003436 0.004157 0.005032 0.006189 0.007697 0.009626 0.012329
2025-10-05 0.003118 0.003883 0.004850 0.006180 0.007998 0.010449 0.014093
2025-10-12 0.002918 0.003729 0.004786 0.006296 0.008451 0.011498 0.016293
2025-10-19 0.002688 0.003505 0.004601 0.006215 0.008602 0.012119 0.017931
2025-10-26 0.002513 0.003339 0.004473 0.006193 0.008821 0.012847 0.019825
2025-11-02 0.002340 0.003160 0.004310 0.006096 0.008909 0.013369 0.021442
2025-11-09 0.002228 0.003056 0.004243 0.006133 0.009199 0.014240 0.023784
2025-11-16 0.002102 0.002923 0.004122 0.006072 0.009320 0.014833 0.025707
2025-11-23 0.001967 0.002768 0.003954 0.005920 0.009271 0.015120 0.027085
2025-11-30 0.001886 0.002687 0.003894 0.005935 0.009504 0.015932 0.029635
2025-12-07 0.001843 0.002666 0.003931 0.006124 0.010078 0.017479 0.034097
2025-12-14 0.001738 0.002542 0.003797 0.006011 0.010099 0.017979 0.036401
2025-12-21 0.001642 0.002426 0.003667 0.005895 0.010098 0.018432 0.038687
2025-12-28 0.001576 0.002353 0.003602 0.005887 0.010300 0.019322 0.042226
2026-01-04 0.001536 0.002321 0.003603 0.005996 0.010742 0.020787 0.047583
2026-01-11 0.001467 0.002236 0.003508 0.005920 0.010801 0.021415 0.050861
2026-01-18 0.001412 0.002173 0.003446 0.005899 0.010970 0.022314 0.055140
2026-01-25 0.001350 0.002093 0.003351 0.005808 0.010981 0.022843 0.058467
2026-02-01 0.001311 0.002052 0.003322 0.005843 0.011266 0.024079 0.064344
2026-02-08 0.001262 0.001989 0.003250 0.005785 0.011340 0.024797 0.068759
2026-02-15 0.001203 0.001908 0.003139 0.005642 0.011207 0.024965 0.071359